
Will Panama Get Hurt?
Posted Sep 18, 2008 | In Politics, Business | 1 feedback »

Of course we will. Many of these dodgy skyscraper projects were financed based on fake pre-construction sales while the banks looked the other way and now of course they're all getting nervous. And who was it again who was selling these bonds for the McTrump Ocean Club and then bought them all itself? Yes, THAT bank. Add to that that nobody is selling any pre-construction condos and you can take over whole projects now, almost 10% inflation and the picture should become clear to anyone with half a brain. Good luck, speculators!
Instant update: Our fearless and dumb Panama Forecaster weighs in and says we have it all wrong, and they are building and trying to sell pre-construction and everything is just great and buy now! And he's proving it by saying the developers have stuff for sale and they have building permits! Sure. But they're still not making pre-construction sales, because that market is DEAD, you understand? No, we didn't think you did.
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Despite the fact that this is a corrupt third world backwater with a stinky polluted bay, diablo rojo fumes and the lack of any public transportation or public services, people still believe the hype from the promoters and think that foreigners will want to move and retire here en masse; irrespective of the price. They are buying into their own bullshit. Sure, foreigners will move here, Panama does have it's redeeming qualities, but they are simply not moving here fast enough to fill all these condos they are building. Not even close. and certainly not at these prices.
Sticker prices in Panama are now higher than Miami. only the prices in Panama are all artificial. There is no turnover at these prices. Sure the odd dumb, rich gringo shows up in town and grossly overpays for some property. That's what keeps the dream alive. The problem is there just aren't that many dumb, rich gringos around anymore. The US mortgage crisis has put an end to that.
Right now you can't tell a Panamanian that his 150 Sq. meter apartment is not worth $500k. He won't believe you; he is convinced - but he is also leveraged. Everyone has bought into the lie. They are soon to be in for a huge reality check. The market is teetering on the brink of a massive collapse. Many of these half built towers you see around town today will stay that way forever. They will never be completed. And the abandoned skeletons of these half built skyscrapers will serve as a constant reminder of this foolishness.
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